Courtesy of Heritage Galleries & Auctioneers, Dallas, Texas.
By Jim Halperin
The coin world is poised once again for another roller coaster ride
in the marketplace. As soon as the word was out that major Wall Street
institutions would soon be entering the market, buyers began snapping
up coins and driving up prices. Even as I write these words, I can
watch the ANE listings ticking upward. Already, we dealers are calling
our friends and relatives and telling them to get in on the biggest
boom in numismatic history! "Don't worry about which coins to buy," we say. "Everthing's going up! Just get in now, before the prices really take off!"
Whether the boom is just a boomlet or lasts for several years, we
can be sure of one thing. It will eventually reach its peak, and when
it does, the mad scramble to dump coins will begin. Many investors will
lose money, and we won't be the investment darlings we once were.
The boom/bust pattern is certainly not unique to the world of rare
coins. The psychology of it is firmly rooted in human nature. So, I'm
afraid there is very little we dealers can do to prevent its periodic
appearance. But we are lucky. After the market cools off, our faithful
collector/hobbyists, will still accept us back.
We should not forget that rare coin investors enter the market for
one purpose only: to make a profit. If they succeed, they may return.
If not, they are unlikely to try again. So far, relatively few
investors have fallen in love with rare coins enough to remain
collectors.
Collectors, on the other hand, are the reason our market exists in
the first place. They decide for themselves which coins are the most
desirable according to their personal taste and knowledge. They are
here to build, not merely to profit. When their collection is finally
sold, they may be pleased if there is a nice profit. But that is not
the only reason why they started their collections, or even why most
decide to liquidate collections.
So, as we stand at the brink of another boom/bust cycle, let us not
forget who makes our market possible. As dealers, we are in a position
to help set the tone of the hobby. I urge that we begin to place more
emphasis on long-term collecting, instead of short-term profiteering.
In fact, these periodic invasions by outside investors are ideal
opportunities to attract some of them as permanent residents in the
world of numismatics.
This can be accomplished by reemphasizing the hobby element in our
marketing and customer relations efforts. I make this recommendation
not at the expense of the investor or of those who sell coins only as
an investment. On the contrary, dealers who now deal only with
investors have the greatest opportunity to cultivate them as long- term
collectors.
If you are skeptical that investment- only dealers could ever become
champions of the hobby and their customers converted to lifelong
collectors, I offer one dramatic example of an investment-only dealer
who has done exactly that. David Hall, the founder of PCGS, is a
visionary in the truest sense. He always seems to be one or two steps
ahead of the rest of us. I have known him for twenty years, and during
that time, I have seen him almost singlehandedly effect profound
changes in the hobby and the market.
His newsletter The Inside View, for example, no longer simply
reports the profit potential in rare coins. Now, he also provides his
investment-oriented readers with background information about the rare
coins they are buying. He tells them why certain coins are so highly
prized for their uncommon beauty or extraordinary historical
significance. And he is very convincing. He really helps his readers
understand why rare coins are so exciting and fun to own.
Why has he made this change in the editorial content of his
newsletter? He tells me that now most of his customers are not buying
just for investment any more. They buy coins they really like and enjoy
owning. Many of them are forming real collections, not just portfolios.
And David Hall's business is terrific!
A perfect example of a dealer who has supported and promoted the
hobby over the years is Q. DavidBowers. It is almost impossible to read
one of his many books or the latest issue of his company's catalog, The
Rare Coin Review, without becoming excited about the history and
romance of rare coins. I doubt that anyone alive has done more to
attract new collectors to our hobby than Dave Bowers. His efforts on
behalf of the hobby are a model for what we can all accomplish. Every
dealer should make it a habit to read and attempt to emulate Dave
Bowers' work.
By emphasizing the hobby of numismatics, instead of simply promoting
the profit potential of rare coins, we dealers can actually invest in
the future stability of our market. A broader base of collectors means
a stronger foundation that protects the market from the wild swings of
boom/bust cycles. Investors who become collectors are not going to
desert the market when prices begin to drop. On the contrary, many will
regard market corrections as an opportunity to acquire coins they
couldn't previously afford. And a market solidly established on a firm
and expanding collector base is the best market for all of us.
I hope we have learned from the past as we approach the next
whirlwind of rising prices and heady profits. The hobby is and will
remain our raison d'etre. And by emphasizing and promoting the hobby,
we are assuring our own future with a stable market and satisfied
customers.
Jim Halperin (ANA lifetime member #1306), is author of U.S. Coin
Values and the N.C.I. Grading Guide and publisher of LEGACY Magazine.
For over ten years, h e has been a contributor to the Red Book, Blue
Book, and the Standard Catalog of World Coins, and a consultant to
ANACS and PCGS. He is founder of the Numismatic Certification Institute
and has been a full-time dealer and collector of rare coins for over t
wen ty years. Today, h e is widely recognized as one of the foremost
experts on U.S. coinage. He is currently a candidate for theANA Board
of Governors.
Orignal From: Editorial: When Are We Dealers Going to Learn?
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